So first, I'm going to tell you about one of my personal things: the Balsam Wood Test.

In SGA fandom, there's a fanfic--I cannot remember which--where in a throwaway scene, Rodney and co are testing an unknown Thingie for reactions to common substances. It reacts to nothing at all, great. Then someone throws in a piece of balsam wood, and as it turns out, Thingie reacts badly to it.

To balsam wood.

Anyway, that stuck in my head--I love that kind of thing--and eventually, the idea turned into a concept of how to reliably test reality when all you have is your subjective self to work it out. The Balsam Wood Test.

Now, Eureka's Matrix: I love it. I love it for so many reasons, but all of them are relationship and people based. I love the characters dealing with it. I love the drama around it.

I hate the fact that anyone, anywhere, would think the Matrix could, even by accident, forward the study of science as it pertains to anything but the study of artificial reality and maybe the limits of computer programming. That's not just insane, it's--I need a word here, just go with 'are you high and have been since the Enlightenment?'

It can't be done, full stop. Even if it was run by an AI, it couldn't; if the AI actually could do that, you wouldn't need a Matrix because you wouldn't need people to discover anything; the AI could do it all. A computer could not, ever, reliably reproduce science as we know it--much less Eureka-level science--well enough to fool actual scientists for more than five seconds and maybe not even then.

(I'm not entirely sure it's really possible to create a Matrix reality indistinguishable from reality-reality, but that's another story.)

You see, there's no such thing as random numbers in programming. But I'm getting ahead of myself.

We have no idea what objective reality is; it's all subjective to varying degrees. Physics tries very hard, but even things we designate laws are very much 'well, nothing has contravened this yet so here we are'; anything lighter is 'current best explanation we have but we're open to suggestions' at best. Entire swathes of science exist based on math with the understanding we also haven't discovered all the math. To be generous, we're not even aware of about 99.999999999999999999% of physics. Of the part we're aware of, we maybe are sure of none and best guess a very tiny amount of that. And i won't even begin to describe where we are in pure math; maybe a little better? But probably not.

Like, this is true of all science, but I'm focusing on physics because the Matrix kind of requires it; that's the baseline on pretty much everything.

The Balsam Wood Test: in the Matrix, if Rodney had thrown a piece of balsam wood into that machine, there would have been no reaction because even best guess anywhere in history would not have prepared anyone for the idea that combining Thingie and balsam wood would go bad. That's not even a maybe; no sane programmer would throw that into a probability table because it wouldn't occur to them. So if that had happened in Matrix Eureka and they used the machine in the real world and someone was wearing a balsam wood necklace and it fell in the Thingie, boom: so much would have gone wrong it's ridiculous.

It's absurd; it's ridiculous; it's insane. Balsam wood: who would have called that as the nemesis of Thingie? Who would have called injecting the pus out of a smallpox blister into someone as an early form of inoculation would actually (kind of) work? Inoculation wasn't even a thing that existed when someone tried that.

(No, seriously.)

Balsam Wood Test: reality is absurd.

Science is the discovery of all the ways its absurd and try to work out why (sometimes, it doesn't fail completely). You cannot create something new within a structure where nothing is new or can ever be. Unlike computers, reality has no constants, just variables. Some of those variables are persistent as fuck, but as I said: nothing has change them yet. Binary is yes or no; there's no such thing as maybe. The only questions in the Matrix already have answers; you cannot answer a new question and you cannot change the answer of an existing question. And that is the opposite of science.

Exception: the study of programming. Then fuck yeah, you can find out all kinds of new things...as they relate to code. Probably a fuckload on engineering virtual machines for gaming, modeling, maybe--no promises--some advances in pure math and definitely some revolutions in graph theory, but not the fundamentals of the universe and reality as we know it. And nothing in math that would radically change our understanding of math either; that's because there's no such thing as random numbers when it comes to computers.

I'll come back to that, promise.

And even all this assumes it is possible to program a reality for greater than one person to believe, which is a huge maybe in itself. Perceived reality is subjective, and jacking directly into people's brains would actually make it much, much harder. We're all of us constrained to a certain extent by the physical limitations of our bodies and how they interact with the brain and much like physics, science is well below 1% at best when it comes to pretty much most shit including biolog. I cannot even imagine how to programmically recreate the body of someone with an autoimmune disorder or insomnia or hell, chronic fatigue syndrome well enough for them not to feel something is off above and beyond, much less individualized experience with such. And that leaves off psychological conditions and I am seriously stumped how on earth no one seems to consider the problem of the brain's ability to randomly override pretty much any function for the fuck of it but sometimes for also legit survival related reasons.

In other words, if I get chased by a bear in the matrix, if the brain thinks my body has been sleeping in my bioprison, it probably is going to hit me with enough adrenaline to knock me out of the matrix and/or cause heart failure because BEAR DEATH WHY ARE YOU SLEEPING YOU IDIOT. And unlike the Matrix, the real world's rulesets are persistent variables and you cannot program my real life brain not to do the unexpected. The brain does crazy shit for fun and wtf; hook someone into the Matrix, there's no way to know how the brain would react to that. It may not even let a person accept that as reality even on the off-chance it was perfect. The brain regularly rejects reality as reality for fuck's sake.

In other words, biology is fucked in the Matrix; for fuck's sake, how do you simulate unknown mutations, much less frequency to match something even passing for real and useful in the real world? With random numbers? Heh. I'll get to that.

And every bit of this assumes programmers won't make mistakes and as a professional QC analyst: oh God, that's funny. It also assumes that mistakes are the reason programs sometimes don't do what you want and sometimes do something you didn't expect: that's even funnier. Computers be crazy; they're subject to reality, where there are no constants, only variables, and only a very few persistent. The more complicated the program is, the more chance even perfect programming will interact in unexpected ways; not because anyone did anything wrong, but because that's the nature of complex systems. You cannot predict the unpredictable.

Now, my biggest and seemingly minor problem except it's a major one: random numbers.

Well known but not appreciated fact: there's no such thing as random number generation in a program.

It look random, and we're developing very sophisticated ways to simulate the random number, but--it's not and can never be truly random because the basis is and will always be a formula. It may take a very, very long time to work it out, it may require a massive amount of data before you can see it, it may be incredibly difficult and very improbable you will work out the pattern, but there is a pattern, all starting with a function (or program) who's only job is to produce seemingly random numbers. Which means that every single thing inside the Matrix would not ever be random, ever and reality is--well, really really random.

Like I said, the formula can be very sophisticated: it could be 'use my gps coordinates right now, add six, and divide by the age of the president of the US who was born closest to this date at his time of death'. It could be that 'plus the number of cats in this pound in Chicago on this day five months ago, then translate the number to binary, and divide by the date of the nearest holiday to this date'. Add in 'Let's base twelve this entire thing now' to round it off.

That's still a pattern.

Maybe not one a person could work out on their own, but. A computer could find the pattern. They're actually pretty good at that, provided you know what you're doing and sometimes when you don't. And if you have a computer sophisticated enough to build reality and you are the type who really believes--insanely--that you're doing this to Forward All Sciences, then short of hobbling your Matrix-reality computers to not work--and truthfully, that's so meta my brain hurts--all you'd need to break the Matrix is someone to track random storms, random tornadoes, random hurricanes, random anything and given enough data, a pattern will emerge eventually. A normal scientist, maybe not: but building a Matrix for Science means you want the best minds in the world, so yeah, they'll find it. Which means a.) broken immersion or b.) illegitimate science because in the real world, random number generation patterns do not predict when tornadoes happen. We don't know anything but conditions that could make them happen; to predict in the Matrix, all you need is to know the formula and once you know there's a pattern, finding the formula is just a matter of time.

(Not to mention the sheer amount of processing power needed just to create seeming randomness. The more power, the closer you can get to random, but--seriously, you'd need entire machines dedicated to nothing but creating those 'random' numbers. Now my head hurts.)

This little problem with random numbers will also cause problems in pretty much any higher math and all of physics--random chance and chaos are actually really really really really important to the very fundamentals of science--as well as really fuck up any legit programming people in the Matrix try to do, and that's just the shit I understand well enough to write here (no promises on if I understand more than the problem exists); there are entire branches of math and computer science that simply won't work in a programmed reality at all.

On any other show, I'd go with it, but Eureka--which is literally About So Much Insane Unknown Science--I just cannot deal with a Consortium who seem to at least know what science is (though maybe not) thinking 'this is a really brilliant idea' like--ever.

I needed that rant so badly. I feel better now.

Okay one more thing: for fuck's sake, your insane matrix made a dragon in like the first week. A. Dragon. The programming created a dragon. Dragon.

DRAGON.

You think your Matrix can be a haven for real, legitimate scientific discovery when it randomly makes fucking dragons? The Matrix can't even manage to reproduce known reality but you think unknown reality won't be a bit of a problem? WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH YOU?

Okay, really done before I lose my shit over rendering errors and how it didnt' seem to occur to anyone that when the brain is jacked directly into the matrix, your physical body isn't actually involved, especially say, the optical nerve or like, the physical eye. Rendering errors occur exclusively in a visual medium with a physical body looking at something.

The Matrix is not a visual medium; what they see is what is programmed into it. This isn't happening on a computer screen or hologram for them; they are not physically inside some kind of super sophisticated chamber of Matrix doign shit with their own bodies; this is happening inside their minds. The only way a rendering error should even exist is if their physical bodies are involved in a simulated environment. THIS IS IN THEIR BRAIN. THERE WILL NOT BE RENDERING ERRORS.

There will be weird shit like birds in rocks, yes. There will be even weirder shit that can happen. But the only way they will see a rendering error is if you specifically program it in to happen under certain conditions, and why would you do that?

Dragons and rendering errors and random numbers and balsam wood causing destruction of everything. Okay, really done.

Really done. Promise. Mostly.
niqaeli: cat with arizona flag in the background (Default)

From: [personal profile] niqaeli Date: 2020-10-01 02:42 am (UTC)
Biased as fuck because it was a wedding present to meeeeeee, but since you're on a Eureka kick, I feel I should remind you of the existence of [personal profile] jmtorres' Eureka vid Industrial Strength Tranquilizer. Because it is amazing and funny and very much appropriate to the show.

(If you're wondering why a couple of clips linger longer than seems necessary, it's because it was a present to meeeeeeee and the vidder knew her audience. *g* But mostly it is a vid about Jack's drinking and why Jack drinks, and it is hilarious.)
niqaeli: cat with arizona flag in the background (Default)

From: [personal profile] niqaeli Date: 2020-10-01 08:58 pm (UTC)
Thought you'd enjoy it! It's sort of just the perfect distillation of Jack's life. The funny thing is, she had enough booze shots she could have done all the chorus lines of 'shot of old crow' as booze, but figured it was a vid as much about why Jack drinks as it was about his drinking. *g* (Her full vid notes, if you're curious.)

Unrelated fun Eureka fact: Salli Richardson-Whitfield, the actress who played Allison was also the voice of Elisa Maza. Who might have been one of my earliest girl crushes because she was fucking amazing.

(It's been so long since I watched Eureka, I remember very little I sort of got frustrated at certain plot things and dropped the show after... I want to say it was S2? So I cannot comment overmuch on the rest of your thoughts other than the balsam wood test being great for illustrating certain things. I should go back at some point! I adored Jack and Henry so much.)
ratcreature: RatCreature is thinking: hmm...? (hmm...?)

From: [personal profile] ratcreature Date: 2020-10-01 07:05 am (UTC)
I don't think developing early smallpox variolation was that weird. I mean they had centuries to observe a ton of cases and how some contracted it mildly and some severely, and in many different places practices developed to make a mild course more likely. So I think if very different people from China to Sudan all discovered that inducing sickness in a milder way was possible (and not just scratching either, wasn't the method in China to snort dried scabs?), it looks more like developing cheese making. Like, kind of a weird process on the face of it, but pretty much everybody who uses milk ends up discovering cheese making too (unless they just have camels, I guess, because their milk won't work).

Occasionally finding an actually working medical treatment rather than just bizarre quack ways to kill and poison ourselves is maybe more of a monkeys and typewriters situation, that could be simulated. Humans seem to be willing to try an astonishing number of random, wacky, and harmful things to possibly help when sick, so just about everything ends up tried eventually, and if it's at all survivable it sticks around, and anything remotely helpful really stands out eventually in-between all the mercury poisoning and bloodletting.

I suspect simulations might fail more readily at predicting how the quack treatments stick around for centuries even though they are harmful and don't do anything. Like I get why people thought bloodletting should have done something good according to their humor theory but to not give up on it for this long when it's just not working, they clearly valued their reality defying theory very strongly. It seems hard to predict which non-working quack fad will die out quickly (as you'd expect) and which stick around against all odds.
ratcreature: RatCreature is thinking: hmm...? (hmm...?)

From: [personal profile] ratcreature Date: 2020-10-01 10:55 am (UTC)
I don't think the leap to intentionally induce a milder illness was easy or everybody would make it, like, I probably wouldn't discover milk preservation via cheese by myself either.

But once you have enough people subjected to the same circumstances, desperately trying all sorts of stuff to escape death, some of them are bound to try this method eventually, and then practice made some people quite good at it, because inoculation is one of those things that improve with experience in how much and what kind of infectious material to use, and intermittent reward of it turning out well sometimes is enough to reinforce behavior.

So in any "big data" kind of setting it wouldn't an outlier or unexpected thing, so I don't think any simulation would get into trouble over this. Like if some AI system was set to run simulated humans through illnesses, after enough iterations I'd expect some of the simulated humans would have tried out weird rituals with disgusting dried scabs, along with a whole bunch of more or less toxic plants, various chants and who knows what else, because humans when faced with illness always try a whole bunch of more or less ridiculous things and sometimes don't die from them.
owl: The TARDIS in snow (TARDIS)

From: [personal profile] owl Date: 2020-10-01 07:18 pm (UTC)
Isn't the BCG an attenuated bacterial vaccine?
lilacsigil: 12 Apostles rocks, text "Rock On" (12 Apostles)

From: [personal profile] lilacsigil Date: 2020-10-01 08:26 am (UTC)
I have more trouble with the Eureka matrix where they're supposed to be awake and thinking and moving around than with the Matrix matrix where everyone is asleep, because if you're asleep, almost everybody has the ability to switch off physical movement in REM sleep. All you'd need to do is trip that switch with your future tech and almost everyone will not be harming themselves in that BEAR DEATH WHY ARE YOU SLEEPING YOU IDIOT scenario. (There are a very small number of people, mostly with epilepsy or other brain damage who do not switch off physical movement in REM sleep but this is a Very Bad Thing.)
ratcreature: oh no! (oh no!)

From: [personal profile] ratcreature Date: 2020-10-01 11:02 am (UTC)
I once woke up in a panic attack from a nightmare with the no-movement switch still active and that was the most horrible thing. The sleep paralysis only lasted a few seconds while I was awake, but it was making my initial nightmare induced panic 1000% worse in those seconds.
akacat: A cute cat holding a computer mice by the cord. (Default)

From: [personal profile] akacat Date: 2020-10-01 11:16 am (UTC)
Don’t get me started on people who think that animal testing can be replaced by AI. Can it (or any well programmed statistical app) prevent some things from getting as far as animal testing? Sure! But if *we* don’t have any reason to think that thingie + balsam = *boom*, how’s the AI going to learn it?
krait: a sea snake (krait) swimming (Default)

From: [personal profile] krait Date: 2020-10-01 02:07 pm (UTC)
I haven't seen this show, but you have pinned down one of the reasons I can't take any kind of The Matrix(TM) sci-fi very seriously. Computer simulations are by nature of being a created thing restricted by the shortcomings of their creator. Garbage in, garbage out; but even very good data in cannot result in ALL data out. No programmer can program for infinite variables.

(Okay, in the case of The Matrix my objection was, "humans would be the most inefficient batteries EVER, you would expend 900x more energy feeding/cleaning/grooming/restraining/housing/moving/teaching/medicating/training/reproducing/disposing of them than you ever got out of them, and also 'just feed them other humans' is not a viable nutrition plan for omnivores who cannot synthesise several critical vitamins or trace minerals" but the point stands. Just build a windmill or tap geothermal vents if you need power and there's no sunlight." I mean, at the point where you're running manganese mines to make supplement tablets for your batteries, you've got to start cosidering the sunk cost fallacy...)
nic: (Default)

From: [personal profile] nic Date: 2020-10-03 09:17 pm (UTC)
I haven't seen Eureka, but this post was fascinating!
olanthanide: (Default)

From: [personal profile] olanthanide Date: 2020-10-04 05:51 pm (UTC)
Science is the discovery of all the ways its absurd and try to work out why

Amen.

Also the hardest part of teaching as a student transitions from book knowledge to actual biological samples is that usually the samples don't look anything like what's shown in the text book. I am still working on how to make "congrats on memorizing the entire textbook but life is really weird and doesn't care about our concept of standard and we're just going to have to deal" sounding encouraging. Current approach: trying to sell "weird = fun!". Disclaimer: am very bad salesperson.

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